Posted by
BrianW on Saturday, August 30, 2008 1:23:24 PM
Can someone explain in realistic, practical terms how
raising gasoline taxes and further increasing the price of motor fuel will help
my family and business survive the immediate future? While I would love to see every American
family drive electric-powered vehicles and have solar and/or wind power
plant(s) on their own property to keep the vehicle charged, the fact is that
such alternatives are simply not currently affordable to the average family or
small business. In fact, the current
high gasoline prices make it even that much more difficult for families or
businesses like mine to commit any resources toward such an alternative.
While the “we can’t drill our way out” crowd say’s
increasing the price at the pump is the best solution to “curing my
addiction”,
unlike recreational drugs, gasoline is a necessity to the daily
operation of
both my family and my business. Intentionally increasing the cost will
not lessen the need for the
resource. I cannot simply decide
tomorrow to pour water into my family cars' gas tanks instead of
gasoline; the
cars run on gasoline. I’m all for
alternative energy, but you and I need something that can help our
families today. Raising taxes and further increasing the already
overly-burdensome prices will do nothing to help in the short term and
will
probably devastate the possibility of being able to afford alternatives
in the
future. If there were viable, cost-comparative
alternatives available today the situation would be different, but
these people’s
“financially punish the gasoline addicts until they quit using”
“solution” will
only break the back of every middle-class and low-income American
family, as well as put
a very high percentage of small businesses into bankruptcy. Until there
is a viable, reliable, cost-comparative
alternative to gasoline that I can use to fuel my vehicles without
having to
make a new five- or six-digit investment, there is no way the American
family
OR the American small business can afford such a ridiculous
“solution”. If we can’t even afford the fuel, how are we
expected to afford purchasing alternative-fueled substitutes that are
currently
available only in small quantities, are unrealizable, bear more than
twice the cost of the vehicles my family currently drives, and have
maintenance costs comparable to the total cost of
our current vehicles? I simply can't go out and spend or even borrow
$40,000 for a new hybrid car that will only increase efficiency from
the 28 mpg my '98 Avalon gets to the 45 mpg they promise, then have to
come up with another $12,000 in two years to replace the fuel cell
after it stops functioning.
Imagine the reality of such a hypothetical scenario. Obama has taken
the Whitehouse, and such an
energy plan has been implemented. Higher
taxes and further-reduced supply have caused the average price of
gasoline to increase
to $8.00 per gallon. Since, like 287,000,000
other Americans, we don’t live in NYC, DC, or LA, the current
availability of
public transportation is not practical for our transportation needs (we
just don't have an extra 2-4 hours a day to spend sitting on
buses). With both of us working and our two children
going to school, we are required to drive a combined 284 miles per
week. With two family vehicles getting an average
28 mpg, we use an average of 10.12 gallons of gasoline per week, which
would cost
$81.14 each week or $4,219 per year. Obama’s
solution is that if our “addiction” is punished this harshly it will
motivate
my family to replace our passenger vehicles with alternative-fuel
vehicles, but
now that the price of gasoline is so high, the resale value of our
current
vehicles will have plummeted. Furthermore, with the short supply of and
increased demand for alternative-fuel
vehicles, the price of those vehicles will have skyrocketed, while the
cost
savings will come nowhere close to covering the increased maintenance
costs much less the initial investment. With a budget already pressed
beyond the
breaking point and our investment in our current vehicles a complete
loss, the money to purchase alternative replacements simply does not
exist. It’s just not possible in any way, so our budget
will naturally shift to focus only on the essential needs in order to
continue
being able to get ourselves to work. Being typical of most American
families, this will cause retail numbers to
plummet in double-digits each quarter. As retailers continue to lose
money, their coffers will quickly dry up and retail stores will start
closing their doors. Shopping malls, as a result, will have more and
more empty retail spaces, and will be forced to lower their rent,
decreasing their revenues. Once the property owners' revenues have
fallen below their costs and the property owners’ coffers are depleted,
the mall
properties will become vacant, graffiti-covered eye sores on our land.
Let your fingers walk through the yellow pages and look at what types
of businesses are in your area. Landscapers, for example, rely on
fuel, and increased fuel costs will force them to raise their prices.
As families shift budgets to focus only on
essential needs, they will no longer be able to afford to support such
businesses, and the reduction of money spent by average Americans on
products and services other than gasoline will cause other small and
medium sized businesses to lose revenue, fall into bankruptcy and
disappear,
along with the jobs they provided. With
nationwide revenues through the floor, businesses closing, and
unemployment through
the roof, tax revenues will plummet as well. Money simply won’t be
there for social programs or “check-in-the-mail”
relief programs, so deficits will increase and government programs will
fail
and disappear as their budgets are reduced. Within a very short period
of time America
would move from a slow economy to a full recession to a complete
depression,
and even the “almighty” government will no longer have the resources to
help. The only possible endgame of this energy “plan”
is a complete devastation of our economy, and a complete collapse of
our society’s
lifestyle.
The only viable immediate answer is absolutely to increase
the supply of the resource upon which our current infrastructure relies... oil. The futures market will immediately respond
based on the promise of increased supply, and the market price will drop. The only way to realistically accomplish that
in the near future is to increase production. Then, once we’ve stabilized the market to a price point that leaves
American families and businesses with surplus resources, we can use our surplus
resources to develop and even reward alternatives to the point that they can be
competitive with current products, and, over time, people will naturally switch
to these alternatives.